3 Under-the-Radar MLB FanDuel Plays for 6/25/19
When being contrarian in daily fantasy sports, there's a fine line between taking a calculated risk and being reckless. But differentiating your lineups from everyone else is the name of the game if you plan on taking down one of those highly lucrative DFS tournaments. Whether it's because of Vegas totals, other options at a given position, or some gem you've found that everyone is overlooking, we can always find potential under-owned plays if we look hard enough.
Here are three such players to consider branching out for on FanDuel's main slate
Andrew Heaney, P, Los Angeles Angels
FanDuel Price: $7,300
On a slate with 15 games, it can be tough to trust the pitcher who is the least proven this season, but that opens up a chance for lower ownership.
By least proven I mean, Andrew Heaney only has five starts this season due to starting the year on the injured list. He is worth rostering tonight in a softer matchup though. He is facing off against the Cincinnati Reds, who come in with an ugly 85 wRC+ (24th in the league) and a .145 team ISO (25th) versus left-handed pitchers.
If you don't want to pay up for the top-tier pitchers or you want to fade their ownership, Heaney has one of the best matchups and comes in sporting a 29.9% strikeout rate this season, which is from a five-game sample size, so take it with a grain of salt. This is a significant negative park shift against the Cincinnati offense, which is why they come in with a run total of only 4.01 tonight.
Daniel Vogelbach, 1B, Seattle Mariners
FanDuel Price: $3,700
A positive park shift for the Seattle Mariners tonight and up against a sub-par pitcher can lead to runs, but will they be lower owned in tournaments?
The Mariners have an implied run total set at 4.42 tonight and that isn't especially high, considering there are 11 teams ahead of them. Simply due to the fact this is a massive slate, there will be plenty of teams or players who go overlooked, and that presents the opportunity to grab them at lower ownership.
There is no denying the Mariners have taken a sharp turn downward after their hot start and are now at the bottom of the AL West. Regardless of that, a player like Dan Vogelbach still has plenty of fantasy value with his .427 wOBA, .320 ISO, and 26.2% home-run-to-fly-ball rate versus right-handed pitchers this season. He is up against Zach Davies, who has a 6.13 xFIP and allowing a 41.6% fly-ball rate to lefty hitters this season.
Kolten Wong, 2B, St. Louis Cardinals
FanDuel Price: $2,700
The St. Louis Cardinals have a modest 4.47 implied run total tonight, but they're in a good spot to hit the over on that.
They are facing off against Chris Bassitt, who looks to be decent at face value, allowing a .304 wOBA to lefty hitters. If we look deeper though, we can see he has a 5.26 xFIP and allowing a 44.9% fly-ball rate. Those are some seriously bad numbers and you should want to attack them known his .304 wOBA won't be around forever.
Kolten Wong has some interesting numbers to look at since he's had a bit of an up and down season, but things look good since the start of June. He is carrying a .321 wOBA, super low 11.8% strikeout rate, and a 42.1% fly-ball rate since the beginning of the month. But he is also holding an underwhelming .103 in that same time frame, which is a bit discouraging. The contact is there for him, the fly-balls are there, but he hasn't been able to convert them yet. This matchup against Bassitt puts him in a good spot to do so.