College Basketball Daily Fantasy Helper: Saturday 4/6/19
March Madness is quickly coming to an end. And just because your bracket is toast or your team has been eliminated, the DFS grind doesn't stop.
As all year, you can get in on college hoops DFS by playing daily contests at FanDuel today. If you've played NBA DFS before, it's quite simple: pick a total of eight players -- four guards, three forwards and one utility spot you can use for either position. Stay within the $50,000 salary cap and field the team you think will score the most fantasy points.
Where scoring differs from NBA is in the blocks and steals categories, with each worth two FanDuel points apiece rather than the three you get in daily NBA contests.
|Saturday, April 6th (Final Four)|
|Auburn vs. Virginia|
|Texas Tech vs. Michigan State|
Which players should you be targeting and why?
Jarrett Culver, Texas Tech ($8,600): Though there are players in more beneficial spots, for my money Culver is the most talented one left. If anyone is even close to matchup-proof it's the 6'5" sophomore, who has averaged 32.0 FanDuel points with averages of 18.9 points, 6.4 rebounds, 3.7 assists and 2.0 blocks-plus-steals on the year. For the tournament, he's averaging 40.9 FanDuel points, and that jumps to 43.1 going back to the final game of the Big 12 tournament. He has three games of 40-plus and two of at least 50 in that five-game stretch, taking at least 17 shots and using no fewer than 36.9% of his team's offensive possessions in each. His workload is safe, and if Tech is going to advance past the Spartans he'll be the one to take them there. The upside is worth ignoring the potential floor that a 65-point implied total carries with it.
Ty Jerome, Virginia ($8,000): Somewhat surprisingly, the Cavaliers possess the highest implied total at 68.25. They are 5.5-point favorites over the Tigers, and in this spot they get a bump of 8.7 possessions per 40 minutes, according to KenPom.com's adjusted tempo. Auburn is also the worst defensive team remaining and the only one outside the top 10, ranking 39th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Jerome leads UVA's second-ranked offense, checking in with a 23.1% usage rate and 32.1% assist rate for the year. His floor is as solid as any, as he's produced throughout the tourney, even in a slow-mo game against Oregon (31.2 FanDuel points). He is averaging 15.5 points and 30.8 FanDuel points across the four contests, and he's fresh off his best game yet (39.5). At his price, you can find a way to pay up for two guards above $8,000 or make a more balanced lineup by fading the two higher-priced studs.
Bryce Brown, Auburn ($6,400): Auburn hasn't gotten this far without a fantastic tournament performance. Senior Bryce Brown has put the team on his back for large parts of this run, having scored 12, 25, 12 and 24 points through the first four rounds. He's shooting 54.5% from the floor and knocking down 43.8% of his three en route to 3.8 a game. Brown hasn't contributed a ton in the way of peripherals, but his elite scoring has been enough to average 27.5 FanDuel points, or 4.3 points per $1,000 at this price. Virginia has a good defense, but if they are even slightly off their game Brown could torch any one defender. His upside bests anyone in the mid-range on this slate.
Kihei Clark, Virginia ($4,300): Clark has been a pivot player off the Cavaliers' bench this year. In playing 26.4 minutes a game, he's averaged just 10.6 FanDuel points, but he has 10 games in which he's logged 30-plus, averaging 6.9 points and 13.1 fantasy points in that subset. Three of those have taken place in the last four games, and the semifinal should be no different. Auburn deploys a bunch of smaller guards and will look to go small without the injured Chuma Okeke in there to play the four- or five-spot. All he requires is 17.2 for four-times value (4.0 points per $1,000), so lock in the minutes and hope for a productive game from the freshman.
Xavier Tillman, Michigan State ($7,000): On the upper side of that Big 12/Big Ten showdown, Sparty draws a 67.5-point total in the game with the higher of the two over/unders, at 132.5. For the most part, Michigan State shares the love with Cassius Winston the only elite play among them. But on a point-per-dollar basis, Tillman is a better play. The talented sophomore has upped his 24.2 FanDuel point average to 32.0 in four tournament games. He's averaging 1.13 FanDuel points per minute behind 15.3 points, 8.5 rebounds and 1.8 blocks. He has a pair of blocks in three of the four, and the last time he was without one was way back on February 24. Tillman fills up the box score in a variety of ways, but he might be able to take advantage of the Red Raiders' lack of rebounding. While Tech hasn't been a bad team on the boards this year, they have been out-rebounded in three of four games this tournament, and that includes 7.8 offensive boards allowed to their opponents. Tillman is first on his team in offensive rebounds (2.4) and first in putbacks with 25, per Hoop-Math.
Mamadi Diakite, Virginia ($6,100): We could say that Diakite, much like Clark, has been a spark-plug off the bench for the Wahoos if not for his promotion of late. After starting the first round matchup in a reserve role (he still played 27 minutes), the 6'9" junior has started every other tournament game, and he's played no fewer than 28 minutes with 42 in an overtime win over Purdue. He has 14-plus points in three of the four games in March, all while adding 9.0 rebounds and 2.3 blocks a game. His 9.7% block rate has led to nearly three blocks per 40 minutes for the versatile defender, who should also benefit from a higher pace. He has 30-point upside, which would return nearly five-times value at this price.
Aaron Henry, Michigan State ($5,000): Basically a Tillman lite, Henry gets the job done with across-the-board production. Per 40 minutes, he averages 10.7 points, 7.1 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1.2 steals and 0.9 blocks. His playing time has been at an all-time high during March -- the result of injuries to Joshua Langford and Kyle Ahrens. The freshman has turned 34.5 minutes a game into 22.9 FanDuel points in the tournament, seeing 38 minutes in his last two, going for 15.6 and 42.6 FanDuel points. He doesn't have a high floor, but that 40-point upside is there, and you can't fade those minutes. He's a great source of salary relief and serves as a cheap player to include in a Spartans stack.
Anfernee McLemore, Auburn ($4,200): With Okeke on the sidelines, McLemore looks like the guy down low for Auburn. He played 30 minutes in the team's first game without the sophomore standout and turned in eight points, five rebounds, two blocks and two steals for 22.0 FanDuel points. Given his smaller size -- 6'7", 220 pounds -- he could shadow either the smaller Diakite or look to stretch the floor against the bigger Jack Salt (if Virginia chooses to go that route). In the six games the junior has played at least 24 minutes, he has averaged 9.5 points and 18.2 FanDuel points. If he gets the minutes, reaching value (16.8) is well within reach.
Brett Oswalt is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Brett Oswalt also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username BRO14THEKID. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.