4 FanDuel Premier League Players to Avoid in Matchweek 38
The Premier League campaign is coming to an end on Sunday, and all matches will start at 10:00 a.m. EST. Other than the league winner -- Manchester City or Liverpool -- the final slate does not offer much drama as the three squads being relegated are set, and the top four are basically decided, with Tottenham have eight goals in hand over Arsenal. With that being said, only a few clubs will continue their campaign after Sunday, and, as always, DFS players should check out injury reports and confirmed starting XI's when they become available since some players may be rested.
|Sunday, May 12th|
|Bournemouth at Crystal Palace|
|Arsenal at Burnley|
|Chelsea at Leicester|
|Everton at Tottenham|
|West Ham at Watford|
|Manchester City at Brighton|
|Huddersfield at Southampton|
|Newcastle at Fulham|
|Wolverhampton at Liverpool|
|Cardiff at Manchester United|
We should try to take advantage of the teams and players who play especially well either home or away, while also looking at oddsmakers' favorites and over/under totals. As with any DFS sport, it is imperative to have your players, especially the high-priced studs, live up to their price tag. When investing in any player, it is important to determine who will likely contribute in FanDuel's emphasized areas (goals, assists, and shots on target). It's also just as crucial not to overspend on players in bad matchups.
Let's take a look at four players across the pitch who should be avoided.
All stats provided (betting odds not included) are courtesy of RotoWire.
Gonzalo Higuain, Chelsea
FanDuel Price: $11,000
Higuain is tied with three other players as the 11th-highest priced forward on the slate, and he has averaged 16.60 FanDuel points through 13 matches. Higuain has produced under his season-long average in five of his six road starts since joining Chelsea.
Chelsea are a slight favorite against Leicester, and the match has a. The Foxes have kept a clean sheet in two of their last three home matches and have not allowed more than one goal at King Power Stadium since February 23rd.
Higuain, who oddsmakers give a 40% chance of scoring, has played under 80 minutes in five of his last six matches, and he should feature in Thursday’s Europa League semi-final. With neither team having anything to play for in the Premier League, though, Higuain will likely once again see limited minutes on the road, where he has struggled this season, and he may even be selected to the bench in favor of Olivier Giroud, which would make Higuain’s fantasy value meaningless.
Higuain has recorded five goals this season since joining the Blues, and four have come at Stamford Bridge. He has feasted against bottom-10 clubs as four of his five goals have also come against clubs currently in the bottom half of the table. The Foxes -- who currently sit ninth -- have allowed the fifth-fewest shots (11.16) per match, and DFS players should look to the top-end forwards as Sergio Aguero ($13,000) faces a Brighton squad that has allowed the third-most shots (15.22) per match in what is a must-win for City.
Christian Eriksen, Tottenham
FanDuel Price: $9,500
In what will be his 12th match since the international break (42 days), Eriksen is tied with three other players as the fifth-highest priced midfielder on the slate, and he has averaged 18.50 FanDuel points this season. Eriksen has scored under his season-long average in two straight Premier League matches and four straight matches including his Champions League fixtures against Ajax.
With the Spurs pulling off an unlikely comeback over Ajax in Wednesday’s Champions League semi-final, Eriksen (and other Spurs) may be rested as Tottenham’s place in the top four is set -- barring an eight goal differential change with Arsenal -- while they’ll face Liverpool in the Champions League final on June 1st. Per FanDuel Sportsbook, the match has a 54.5% chance of going over 2.5 goals, however, the Spurs have combined for just one goal in their previous two Premier League home matches, while the Toffees have kept two clean sheets over their last three road matches.
The Toffees have proven stingy against opponents this season as they have allowed the fifth-fewest crosses (15), fourth-fewest shots (10.59) and fourth-fewest chances created (6.81) per match this season, and Eriksen, who has a 21.7% chance of finding the net, could struggle to find value as he will likely see limited minutes.
Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Crystal Palace
Wan-Bissaka is the fifth-highest priced defender on the slate, and he has averaged 16.94 FanDuel points this season. Wan-Bissaka has recorded at least 20 FanDuel points in four of his last five matches, averaging 21.06 FanDuel points over that span.
Palace are a large favorite over Bournemouth, who have a 76.7% chance of scoring at least one goal, according to oddsmakers, a feat they have accomplished in four of their previous five road matches, including scoring at least two goals in three matches over that span.
In the previous fixture against the Cherries, Wan-Bissaka produced just 10.4 FanDuel points as Bournemouth currently sit in the bottom half of the table in all defensive actions allowed (clearances, interceptions, tackles and blocked shots). Despite sitting in second for interceptions (84) and third in tackles (128), Wan-Bissaka may struggle to produce a high-ceiling performance that is needed to win large-field tournaments, though a consistent performance is the most-likely outcome, which will suffice for cash contests.
Lukasz Fabianski, West Ham
Fabianski is tied with three other players as the third-highest priced keeper on the slate, and he has averaged 12.32 FanDuel points this season. Fabianski has recorded over 20 FanDuel points in two straight appearances, averaging 24.5 FanDuel points over that span, but in his previous three leading up to those matches, Fabianski averaged just 5.0 FanDuel points.
Watford are the slight favorite over West Ham, and the Hornets have a 87.5% chance of finding the back of the net, per oddsmakers, a feat they have accomplished in five of their last six matches at Vicarage Road, while the Hammers have conceded in nine of their last 10 road matches.
In a match that has a 63.2% chance of going over 2.5 goals, the Hornets will likely score at least one goal, which gets rid of Fabianski’s clean sheet bonus, and with all the keepers playing on the final slate, Fabianski’s upside -- without a clean sheet -- is extremely limited as the Hornets have forced the fourth-fewest number of saves (2.49) per match this season.
Ben Fisher is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Ben Fisher also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username Gvsubrickwall. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his/her personal views, he/she may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his/her personal account. The views expressed in his/her articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.