4 FanDuel Premier League Studs to Target for Matchweek 38
As is the case when playing any sport on FanDuel, it’s imperative to hit on high-priced studs, the players in which you’ve made the biggest investment. This is especially true with forwards in soccer. Not only are the top-end forwards expensive, they are the ones most likely to put the ball in the back of the net, and goals are often the difference between winning and losing in DFS.
This article will cover FanDuel's main slate that begins Sunday at 10:00 a.m. EST and features all 10 matches.
|Sunday, May 12th|
|Bournemouth at Crystal Palace|
|Arsenal at Burnley|
|Chelsea at Leicester|
|Everton at Tottenham|
|West Ham at Watford|
|Manchester City at Brighton|
|Huddersfield at Southampton|
|Newcastle at Fulham|
|Wolverhampton at Liverpool|
|Cardiff at Manchester United|
Every year, the final day is the best slate of the season. All 20 teams are in play, and everything goes down at the same time. With so many options available, ownership will naturally be more spread out than usual, but we can expect Manchester City and Liverpool -- the two sides battling for the title -- to be popular as they are favored and have it all to play for. We may see some squad rotation on Sunday from the teams with nothing to play for, which could open up ample value options, making it easier to jam in the studs you want.
We have four big favorites on this slate, paced by Manchester City, owners of 86.7% implied win odds, per FanDuel Sportsbook, as they travel to Brighton needing a win to secure back-to-back EPL crowns. Manchester United (79.6 implied win odds), Liverpool (77.8%) and Southampton (71.4%) are also big favorites. Crystal Palace (52.4%) are the only other team with implied win odds greater than 50.0%.
Let’s take a look at some high-priced players -- all across the pitch -- who, despite costing a good chunk of change, are worth the investment.
Sergio Agüero, Forward, Manchester City
FanDuel Price: $13,000
Manchester City have to win to retain the crown, and they're massive road favorites (86.7% implied win odds) against a Brighton side that flirted with relegation. That's going to make Pep Guardiola's bunch extremely popular, per usual, but with so much value on this slate -- and there could be more than we expect if some of the mid-table sides sit stars -- it shouldn't be too hard to pay up for the guys you want.
Agüero has averaged 22.0 FanDuel points per game this season in EPL play, scoring 20 goals with eight assists. He's been pretty quiet on the run in, totaling a mere one goal and one assist over his past five matches. That's unlikely to scare away many people, though, as he's got a massive ceiling -- games of 61.3 and 67.6 FanDuel points since February 1st -- and his stock gets a boost from his penalty duties.
As always, City offer a plethora of options, and they're expected to run over Brighton, even though Brighton have been stout defensively of late. Unless you're building a lineup under the assumption that City score just a single goal (or get blanked), you need exposure to City's stars, and Agüero is as good of a choice as anyone. FanDuel Sportsbook has a +280 line on him scoring two or more goals, which works out to implied odds of 26.3%.
Also at forward, don't sleep on Marcus Rashford ($12,000) and Wilfried Zaha ($11,500). Manchester United are the second-biggest favorites on the slate as they host relegated Cardiff City, putting Rashford in a great spot. Zaha is a boom-or-bust play, but he's capable of a big day at home against Bournemouth in match where neither team have anything to play for.
Mohamed Salah, Midfielder, Liverpool
FanDuel Price: $11,500
It's going to be tempting to load up on Liverpool and City players, which has been the case for a lot of this season and has worked out well more often than not. A word of warning, however -- Liverpool are playing a Wolves team that is darn good, so the Reds are in a tougher spot than City is. But it speaks to how good the Reds are -- and how powerful Anfield is -- that oddsmakers still give Liverpool implied win odds of 77.8%.
Salah is expected to be cleared for this weekend after sitting out against Barcelona in midweek UCL play. Over his last five EPL starts, he's got five goals and one assist, scoring at least 26.0 FanDuel points in four of five matches, with a low of 17.6 and a high of 64.0 in that span.
If James Milner starts, which is likely, Salah won't be on penalties, which certainly dings his DFS appeal a bit. But Salah is more rested than anyone else on Liverpool, and the Reds will be going all out as they cling to title hopes.
If you fade Agüero up top, Bernardo Silva ($8,500), David Silva ($8,500) and Raheem Sterling ($12,000) make a lot of sense in midfield. Also, Paul Pogba ($9,500), who has seen his price slashed, will take penalties for United, and the Red Devils, as we mentioned earlier, are in a tasty spot at home versus Cardiff.
Willy Boly, Defender, Wolves
FanDuel Price: $6,500
We could go with the Reds' Trent Alexander-Arnold ($8,000) here, but in an effort to branch out from City and Liverpool, let's check out Boly.
Boly anchors the backline for Wolverhampton, and they should be under siege at Liverpool. Admittedly, you can find high-floor defenders for cheaper -- like Brighton's Shane Duffy ($6,000) or Ryan Bennett ($5,000), Boly's teammate -- but that means paying top prices for a defender probably won't be a popular lineup construction, making Boly a good GPP option.
In his last two full matches on the road against top-six sides, Boly has put up 27.3 and 26.5 FanDuel points versus Chelsea and Tottenham, respectively. (He was sent off early at Manchester City, scoring zero points). He should rack up a ton of defensive actions at Anfield and offers a safe, high floor.
Ederson, Keeper, Manchester City
FanDuel Price: $6,500
City's mesmerizing movement and passing gets a lot of headlines -- and deservedly so -- but their defense has been immense during the stretch run.
They have reeled off four straight clean sheets in EPL play, and City have a clean sheet in six of their last seven league matches. For the season, Ederson has 20 clean sheets in 37 EPL appearances.
Brighton have scored just twice in their last nine matches across all competitions, being blanked in seven of those fixtures, one of which was a cup match versus City. Ederson has superb clean-sheet odds, with the three most likely scorelines, per FanDuel Sportsbook, all being City shutouts. And Ederson will almost certainly get the win bonus.
A lack of save volume makes Ederson's floor scary in the event Brighton net a goal, but there's no topping his clean-sheet and win chances on this slate.